Monday, December 31, 2012

LSU/Clemson Preview/Update




League-
We are to game # 23 with tonight's matchup between LSU and Clemson.  Above is the breakdown of total points through 22 games.  Additionally, we attached the scenario for the Top Ten based on tonight's results, the biggest potential movers for the evening, and the best possible points.  Tonight's game is the 10th most valued game with the average risk being just under 22 points.
Here are the picks for the current top 5:
  1. Flute with No Holes:  LSU (13)
  2. P-Horse: LSU (24)
  3. The Guy Behind the Guy:  LSU (29) 
  4. Nittany Lyin':  LSU (26)
  5. BullRob:Clemson $-line (12.5)
Four of the top five players are rookies, only FWNOH has been a CFGL bowl season picker before. 
There will be a full-scoring update tomorrow morning during the first games of the day.
There are some growing stories further down in the leaderboard that will shape tomorrow's action.

Enjoy your New Year's Eve, please be safe.

Love-
The Commissioner's Office

New Year's Eve Update




Ladies and Gentlemen-

After a day off from bowl games, we return with four bowl games that include a great nightcap between LSU and Clemson. 

A couple of stats for today's games:
  • 58% of points on today's games rest on Vandy -6.5; they are the ninth most popular bet of the bowls
  • 50% of points are on USC minus the points, who are minus Matt Barkley
  •  Tulsa & Iowa State is a true "swing game" with 492 on Tulsa and 323 on ISU
  • 898 points lie on LSU, a whopping 60% of the points risked

Our leader is still Flute with No Holes, who has led the ENTIRE WAY so far.  Ten games happen today and tomorrow.  Scoring updates will happen throughout the day tomorrow. 

Deeds

Saturday, December 29, 2012

Witnessing History; 12/29 AM Update




Friday night games hit the CFGL hard with lots of losses across the board.
  • 19 players went 0 for 3 in yesterday's picks
  • 500 points were lost on ULM
  • 572 points were lost when VT covered against Rutgers
  • 559 points were lost in the nightcap when Minnesota covered the large spread
  • #want, Boss Bizzem, Turd Ferguson, and The Guy Behind the Guy were the only four players to win all three games yesterday
Saturday Games:
More and more points are being risked as we get closer to the halfway point of the bowl season. The Valero Alamo Bowl between Texas and Oregon State will mark game #18 and the official middle game of the bowls.  There are five games today, which is the second biggest day of bowl games (January 1st has six).
  • West Virginia is the biggest pick of the day with 921 points risked on the Mountaineers over the 'Cuse; WVU is the fifth biggest bet of the bowl season this year
  • 627 on AFA this morning to win straight up against Rice
  • Oregon State is the popular pick this evening with 564 points on the Beavers
  • 403 points on TCU in the night game against MSU
  • Navy is the most popular pick in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl with 299 points to cover 14.5


Witnessing History:
There is a far more spectacular story than last night's poor performances and the number of points being risked on the games today.  CFGL Season Nine-Bowl Season could be looking at the greatest run of picks in our history, by a very unlikely rookie.  The Guy Behind the Guy (formerly Mr. Lou) is currently taking center stage in his first bowl season.  Yesterday, TGBTG won his ninth, tenth, and eleventh games in a row.  Historically speaking, the CFGL has never seen eleven straight wins in the Bowl Season and he is on pace to set the all-time record for points in a bowl season.

Some perspective on this amazing accomplishment:
  • The Guy Behind the Guy currently sits in second place, yet he has risked 167 fewer points than the man he trails, Flute with No Holes; he has risked only 60% of what our leader has
  • His eleven game winning streak includes moneyline wins on Central Michigan, Baylor, and Ohio 
  • Overall, he has predicted 85.7% of his games correctly, losing only two of the first 15 games  
  • He has converted 94.3% of his points, a rate over 20 percentage points higher than the next best 
  • No rookie has ever strung together more than six straight correct bowl picks 
Typically, the Bowl Season goes down to the last game, last year TP3 won by just 15 points.  If The Guy Behind the Guy continues this dominance, this Bowl Season could be over by New Year's Day.  The trophy is not engraved yet, however, it is clear that nobody can touch this rookie's performance and that he will likely go down as the greatest picker in bowl history.  
All of this barring a giant collapse caused by a jinx post by the Commissioner's office...For the Good of The League, of course.  
Enjoy the games today.  Next update on Monday. 
Deeds

Thursday, December 27, 2012

12/27 Update (Pre-Military Bowl)



L&G of The League-

The Commissioner's Office hopes that everyone had a wonderful holiday.  Attached above are the standings for Best Possible and Total Points. 

Our current total points leader is Flute with No Holes with 159 points.  Though he currently leads, The Flute is also living in the bottom five of best possible as he has risked most of his points in the first eight games.  After a strong regular season run and Top 5 finish, RipperRipski is currently 27 behind our leader with 132 points. 
John Force, PHorse, and BullRob round out the top 5.  

Diving in a bit deeper into the statistics, Schematic Advantage currently has a huge advantage in best total possible because of a number of Moneyline picks, including the Fighting Irish in the final game of the Bowl Season.
Hollywood Hussion leads in highest % of points converted hitting 63 of his first 66 points.  Right behind him are John Force and The Locksmith, who continues to find gold with everything he touches.

Here is a quick analysis of today's three games:  SJSU vs. BGSU, Cinci vs. Duke, UCLA vs. Baylor
  • 456 points total risked on SJSU; 300 points total on the OVER, 141 on BGSU, 87 on the under
  • 650 points on Cincy (14th most picked team); 149 risked on $line (Duke); 142 on Duke + pts
  • 479 on UCLA, 303 points on the Over,
As for big risks on the day as a whole...
  • Leader, Flute with No Holes, risks 78 points on today's games
  • PHorse has won 5 straight and risks a total of 66.5 points today
  • Phuckfantasy risks 83.5 points today including a Duke Moneyline, wins push him towards the top of all categories
  • Hollywood Hussion puts his hot streak on the line with 27 on Cincy and 28 on UCLA
  • Michigan Hates U hates his last five picks as he risks 80 today after five straight losses
  • BullRob risks 70.5 today and puts his top 5 standing at risk
  • The Guy Behind the Guy has hit five straight and risks a total of 85 including a Baylor $line
Enjoy the day, holler with questions.  Next update will come no later than Saturday morning.

Deeds and Commish 

Monday, December 24, 2012

Christmas Eve Update (Pre-Hawaii Bowl)



Ladies and Gentlemen of the Bowl Season-

Thank you for being patient before the first scoring update of the season.  We are through the first six bowl games with the seventh being played tonight in Hawaii. 

Since the Bowl Season is so dynamic and changes with every game, we track scoring in multiple ways:

1.)  Total Points Won:  Most simply, this is the total number of points that have been won on the games so far.  This gives you a picture of who leads in the category that matters the most at the end.
Current top 5:
  • Flute with no Holes- 134
  • RipperRipski- 125
  • Bull Rob- 120 (also in top 5 of best possible)
  • Juice- 113
  • Stumblin' Drunks- 102
2.)  Best Possible Score:  Since everyone risks different amounts on each game, the best total possible column tells who has the most points left, combined with winnings.  In the past, this column gives a great storyline of competitors that may be lurking behind the top in total points.
Current Top 5:
  • Schematic Advantage: 719.5 possible (#67 overall)
  • Bull Rob:  677.5 possible (#3 overall)
  • GDBITHOF:  670.5 possible (#30 overall)
  • Snowflake:  665 possible (#69 overall)
  • Guy behind the Guy- 664 possible (#31 overall) *Formerly Mr. Lou
3.)  Highest % of points won:  This tracks the number of points won based on how many have been risked. This score tells us who is being most accurate in both their picks and in what they have risked. 
Current Top 5:
  • The Locksmith:  97.44% of points won
  • Hollywood Hussiion:  95.08% of points won
  • John Force:  91% of points won
  • Beaver Believer:  90.48% of points won
  • Ripper Ripski:  87.41%
The photo updates give you a look at the top 69 in all categories.








As for the game this evening, here is how the picks break down:
  • 669 points on Fresno State to cover (13th most picked bet of the bowl season)
  • 188 points on SMU to cover
  • 181 points on the over
  • 20 points on the under
The next update will come on Thursday morning.  Until then, enjoy the football and your holiday.
As always, holler with questions.

With Holiday Love,
Deeds,
aka "The Big Rig"

Monday, December 10, 2012

CFGL Bowl Season Nine


Friday, December 7, 2012

BOWL SEASON SPREADS


December 15
NEVADA 76.5
ARIZONA -9.5
PACE PICANTE NEW MEXICO BOWL

TOLEDO 58.5
UTAH ST. -10
UNCLE ERNIE’S IDAHO POTATO BOWL

December 20
BYU -2.5
SDSU 49.5
SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION POINSETTIA BOWL

December 21
BALL ST 61.5
CENTRAL FLORIDA -6.5
BEEF 'O' BRADY'S BOWL ST. PETERSBURG

December 22
EAST CAROLINA 64.5
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE -5.5
R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL

WASHINGTON 46.5
BOISE ST -5.5
MAACO BOWL LAS VEGAS

December 24
SMU 59.5
FRESNO ST -11.5
SHERATON HAWAII BOWL

December 26
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 58.5
WESTERN KENTUCKY -5.5
LITTLE CAESARS BOWL

December 27
BOWLING GREEN 46.5
SAN JOSE ST -7.5
MILITARY BOWL - PRESENTED BY NORTHROP GRUMMAN

CINCINATTI -7.5
DUKE 58.5
BELK BOWL

BAYLOR 79.5
UCLA -1.5
BRIDGEPOINT EDUCATION HOLIDAY BOWL

December 28
OHIO 60.5
LOUISIANA-MONROE -7.5
AdvoCare V100 INDEPENDENCE BOWL

RUTGERS 41.5
VIRGINIA TECH -2.5
RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL

MINNESOTA 57.5
TEXAS TECH -13.5
MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL OF TEXAS

December 29
AIR FORCE PICK
RICE 61.5
BELL HELICOPTER ARMED FORCES BOWL

NAVY
ARIZONA ST
KRAFT FIGHT HUNGER BOWL

WEST VIRGINIA -4.5
SYRACUSE 73.5
NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL

OREGON ST -2.5
TEXAS 56.5
VALERO ALAMO BOWL

TCU -2.5
MICHIGAN ST 41.5
BUFFALO WILD WINGS BOWL

December 31
NORTH CAROLINA ST 52.5
VANDERBILT -6.5
FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL

GEORGIA TECH 64.5
USC -10.5
HYUNDAI SUN BOWL

IOWA ST 51.5
TULSA PICK
AutoZone LIBERTY BOWL

CLEMSON 58.5
LSU -4.5
Chick-fil-A BOWL

January 1
PURDUE 70.5
OKLAHOMA ST -16.5
HEART OF DALLAS BOWL

NORTHWESTERN 51.5
MISSISSIPPI ST -2.5
TAXSLAYER.com GATOR BOWL

MICHIGAN 48.5
SOUTH CAROLINA -5.5
OUTBACK BOWL

NEBRASKA 57.5
GEORGIA -10.5
CAPITAL ONE BOWL

WISCONSIN 47.5
STANFORD -6.5
ROSE BOWL GAME PRESENTED BY VIZIO

NORTHERN ILLINOIS 58.5
FLORIDA ST -13.5
DISCOVER ORANGE BOWL

January 2
LOUISVILLE 45.5
FLORIDA -14.5
ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL

January 3
KANSAS ST 76.5
OREGON -8.5
TOSTITOS FIESTA BOWL

January 4
TEXAS A&M -4.5
OKLAHOMA 71.5
AT&T COTTON BOWL

January 5
PITTSBURGH 52.5
OLE MISS -3.5
BBVA COMPASS BOWL

January 6
ARKANSAS ST -4.5
KENT ST 61.5
GODADDY.com BOWL

January 7
ALABAMA -9.5
NOTRE DAME 42.5
DISCOVER BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP

Monday, December 3, 2012

Locksmith Finishes Historic Season and Removes All Debate on Who is #1






Locksmith Finishes Historic Season and Removes All Debate on Who is #1

Though college football’s debate on who is the real #1 will go on for the next 35 days, the CFGL’s best became crystal clear n Saturday night.  The Locksmith capped a truly historic season with a 45 point week and he eclipsed the all-time record for total points in a CFGL season.  Saturday’s action only served as the crown jewel of one of the most consistent seasons ever in The League. 

The Locksmith used wins in his 20, 15, and 10 point games to run his season total to an incredible 507 points.  Not only did he outscore the biggest field in League history, but also outscored the previous eight winners of the CFGL, eclipsing Barndawg’s record of 503.5 points in Season Eight.  Perhaps the most impressive part of his performance is that by weeks, this is the shortest season in CFGL history, with only 14 weeks for picks.   

Locksmith averaged more than 36 points per week, including a zero in one week and a seven in another.  Without those two weeks, he averaged 42 points per week that included:
·         A single perfecto
·         4 conference bonuses
·         7 dog game winners
·         10 weeks of 30+ points

In week three, The Locksmith moved into the top 10 with a KState $ line and 62 point week and never dropped out.  He added his perfecto in week six and stayed in the top three the rest of the way.  It was week 12 that his 20.5 point dog hit and there was not a doubt the rest of the way. 

Here are some of the past winners that the Locksmith outperformed to set the record:

Historic Results, Winner TOTAL POINTS

CFGL1 - Reidtard 340
CFGL2 - Hussion 384.5
CFGL3 - Honk City - 400.5
CFGL4 - Reilly - 462.5
CFGL5 - Hammes - 490
CFGL6-Dragon - 381 
CFGL7- Primetime - 457.5
CFGL8 - Barndawg - 503.5
CFGL9 - The Locksmith 507

Congratulations to the Locksmith on the greatest regular season in CFGL history…and on to the rest of the field.




Drew Bledsoe Falls Just Short Perfecto, League Title, and Hall of Fame

As incredible as the Locksmith season was, it was nearly eclipsed by Drew Bledsoe’s run at the champ.  Drew Bledsoe spent the last four weeks mounting a charge at the League champ and had Alabama covered on Saturday, it would be he who is wearing the crown and taking home the loot.  Had the Tide been able to cover the 7-point spread in the SEC Championship, Bledsoe WOULD be in the Hall of Fame…the CFGL Hall of Fame as a League Champion.  The Tide would have provided him a 75 point week and the 20 point perfecto bonus would have given him enough to surpass the Locksmith by 17.5 points.  As it falls, GDBITHOF ends up in second place with an incredible 472.5 points.  He wins Carroll’s Credit Union by more than 70 points.

Stumblin’ Drunks Take Advantage of Beast Infection Staggering to the Finish
 One time League leader, Beast Infection totaled just 54.5 points in the last three weeks of the season and the Drunks take advantage of his temporary illness.  Stumblin’ Drunks ride a week 11 perfecto and 34.5 points on the final day to take third place.  Beast Infection’s flare up was contained on Saturday as he only won 1 of his 5 picks.
The Infection’s condition nearly worsened when RipperRipski scored 60 points and seemed destined for the division win on Planet Weis.  It was #68 John Force however, who topped Ripski and the rest of the division on the day, stealing the 10 point bonus and allowing the Beast to win the Planet and take home an additional $150.00.
RipperRipski finishes a strong #5 in his rookie season and heads into the bowl games as a strong contender to take that title home. 

Coach, Nittany Lyin, and P-Horse Top Their Division; Round out the Top 10
Nine year veteran Coach dominated Petrino’s Hog Riders, winning by over 80 points and finishes #6 overall, his best finish ever.  The lifelong Irish fan edged out rookie RollTideYall by 0.3 points and hopes that the Irish will be able to edge the Tide in the same way in January.  Two more rookies, Nittany Lyin and P-Horse finish #8 and 9 respectively and win their conference. It was P-Horse’s Saturday Heroics that netted him 70 points and the Shapiro All-Star title after Deeds and Welchtwin battled at the top for most of the year.  The Morgan Brothers, Doug & Kyle, round out the top ten with Schematic Advantage.

Rookies are the Story of the Rest of the Top 20
Season Nine had a record number of rookies and they lined the Top 20 of the final standings.  Of the rooks, Raider Power, goldline.com, and KC Mizzou Mafia all survived final week zeroes to land themselves in the top 20 at #12, 17, and 20.  In addition, Urban CrierLiar and Col Touch Down had strong enough seasons to finish #18 and #19 respectively. 
Overall rookies made up half of the top 20 spots in the CFGL, making it clear that growth was “For the Good of The League”. 

The Bad and The Ugly and The Rest
Nine year veteran, La Maquina finishes first out of the money and just three points out of his first year paid by the League, he was also beaten by his rookie brother, who finished in the loot…Three weeks ago, Mamacita looked like a lock for some money but her last three weeks the weather changed on her picks...Last year’s bowl champion TP3 finishes #29, and last year’s regular season champ, Barndawg finishes at #39…Lowest finish in the Johnson family (7 total entries) goes to Mr. Kasey Johnson who doesn’t score in championship week and finishes #35…One time leader, Beaver Believer was the USC of the League as he ends the season at #55 after holding the #1 spot during the season…and last but not least, actually, last and least, is Air Raid who finishes with just 122 points, averaging less than 9 points per week.  

League founders, Commish and Deeds would like to thank you all for an incredible Season Nine.  Details on the Bowl Season will be forthcoming this week and we will run it all back with picks for the 35 bowls.